零度棋牌

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                        1. 当前位置:零度棋牌 > 评论 > 正文

                          三季度货币信贷形势解读:经济下行压力大 政策需趋宽2015-12-12 10:52:38 | 编辑: | 查看: | 评论:0

                          零度棋牌LAIYUAN:JINGJICANKAOBAO CHENDESHENG LIHONGXIA    

                          2015NIANQIANSANJIDUGDPZENGZHANG6.9%,ZENGSUYANXUHUILUOTAISHI。YUJINGJIZENGSUHUILUOXIANGMAODUNDELIANGGEJINRONGXIANXIANGFENBIESHI:9YUEMO,M2YUE136WANYIYUAN,TONGBIZENGZHANG13.1%,GAIBIANZHUJIHUILUOTAISHI,ZHANGFUJINWUGEJIDUZUIGAO;QIANSANJIDURENMINBIDAIKUANZENGJIA9.9WANYIYUAN,TONGBIDUOZENG2.34WANYIYUAN。FENXIM2HEXINZENGDAIKUANDEJIEGOU、LAIYUANHETOUXIANG,SHILIJIEHUOBIXINDAIZENGZHANGJIQIYUHONGGUANJINGJIGUANXIDEZHONGYAOQIERUDIAN。

                          流动性基本稳定存量资金需要盘活

                          LILUNSHANG,M2ZENGSUYUGDP、CPIZENGSUJUYOUDATIWENDINGDEGUANXI。XIANSHIZHONG,YINM2KENENGBEIHUOBIDANGJUYONGZUOSHIXIANMOUZHONGMUBIAODEGONGJU,ERPIANLISHANGSHUGUANXI。2009NIANWOGUOWEIYINGDUIWEIJISHISHIDEKUANSONGHUOBIZHENGCE,JIUCENGSHIDELIANGZHEZOUXIANGMINGXIANBEILI。2012NIANHOUWOGUOJINGJIJINRU“SANQIDIEJIA”XINCHANGTAI,HUOBIZHENGCEYEYINGLAI“PANHUOCUNLIANG、GONGJUCHUANGXIN、JINGZHUNDIGUAN”XINCHANGTAI。SHANGSHUGUANXIZONGTISHANGBAOCHIWENDING。JINNIANYILAI,SUIRANM2ZENGSUYUGDP、CPIZENGSUHEDECHAYOUSUOFANGDA,DANMUQIANHAIWEIXIANZHUGAOYUQIANLIANGNIAN,HAIBUSHILIUDONGXINGGUOSHENGDEZHENGMING。

                          2014NIANYILAIDEJIANGDICUNKUANZHUNBEIJINLV,DUIM2DEYINGXIANGBUDA。YINIANDUOLAI,YANGXINGWUCILEIJIXIADIAOYUE3GEBAIFENDIANCUNKUANZHUNBEIJINLV,SHIFANGZIJINYUE4WANYIYUAN。DANZHEIXIEZIJINBINGMEIYOUWANQUANCHENGWEIKEDAIZIJIN,YINWEI2014NIAN6YUEYILAIWAIHUICHUBEIXIAJIANG5000YIMEIYUAN,JIBENSHANGDIXIAOLEWAIHUIZHANKUANXIAJIANGDAOZHIDELIUDONGXINGJIANSHAO。LINGWAI,YINIANDUOLAIJICHUHUOBIYUEBINGWEIXIANZHUBIANHUA,SHENZHIJINNIANERJIDUJICHUHUOBIYUEJIAOQUNIANSIJIDUHAIJIANSHAO5000YIYUAN。KEJIAN,WOGUOJIANGZHUNDEZHUYAOMUDESHIMIBUWAIHUIZHANKUANDAOZHIDELIUDONGXINGQUEKOU,MANZUJINGJIZENGZHANGDEZHENGCHANGXUYAO,ERBUSHIDAGUIMOKUANSONG,GENGMEIYOULIUDONGXINGFANLAN。

                          CUNKUANJIEGOUBIANHUAXIANSHI,ZHENGFUHEFEIYINJINRONGJIGOUDEZIJINCHENDIANXUYAOPANHUO。M2SHIGELEICUNKUANDEZONGHE,KEFENJIEWEIZHUHU、FEIJINRONGQIYE、ZHENGFU+FEIYINJINRONGJIGOUSANGEBUFEN。QIANLIANGZHEZHUYAOCONGSHISHITIJINGJIDESHENGCHANBINGCANYUCHUCIFENPEI,ZHIYOUZHEILIANGBUFENDERONGZIDEYIBAOZHENG,QICUNKUANCAINENGZENGZHANG,SHEHUIZIJINDEXIAOLVCAIXIANGDUIJIAOGAO。DANSHI,2010NIANYILAIDESHUJUXIANSHI,ZHUHUCUNKUANZHANBIDATIWENDINGZAI40%-45%,FEIJINRONGQIYEDECUNKUANCHENGXIANWENBUXIATAIJIEDETAISHI,YICONG2010NIANDE42%ZUOYOUJIANGDAOMUQIANDE31%ZUOYOU。XIANGFAN,ZHENGFU+FEIYINJINRONGJIGOUDECUNKUANCHIXUWENBUZENGZHANG,QIZHONGZHENGFUCUNKUANZHANBI2/3。BUDUANZENGZHANGDECAIZHENGCUNKUAN,HENDABUFENPAZAICAIZHENGZHANGSHANGHUABUCHUQUHUOTONGGUOQUANLIXUNZULOUCHU,MEINENGCHENGWEISHITIJINGJIDEZHIJIEZHICHENG。YUCILEISI,M1/M2JINJINIANYECHIXUXIATAIJIE,SHUOMINGQIYEHUOQICUNKUANZHANBICHIXUXIAJIANG。

                          零度棋牌JISHISHITIJINGJIZHONG,YEYOUHENDUOZIJINZAIWUXIAODIXIAOLINGYUCHENDIAN,MEIYOUXINGCHENGYOUXIAODELIUDONGXING。CHUANTONGXINGYERENGCHUZAIQUCHANNENG、QUKUCUNDEJIEDUAN。LILUNSHANGZHEIGESHICHANGCHUQINGDEGUOCHENGYEYINGGAIBANSUIZHEQUGANGGAN,DANSHIGUOQUYINXINGDALIANGDAIKUANJIZHONGZAIGANGTIE、MEITAN、JIANCAI、FANGDICHANDENGCHUANTONGLINGYU,ZHEIXIELINGYUJISHIBULIANGDAIKUANDEZHUYAO“GONGXIANZHE”,TONGSHIYINWEIGUIMODAYINGXIANGDA,RONGNAJIUYEDUO,YESHICHIFANZIJINXUQIUZUIPOQIEDELINGYU,YINXINGZAIBUYUANDAIKUANHEWUFATUICHUZHIJIAN,BEIPOXUANZEXUDAI、ZHANQIDENG。SUIRANMEIYOUZHUNQUESHUJU,DANYINXINGYEBULIANGLVBUDUANPANSHENG、BOBEIBUDUANXIAJIANGJIUSHUOMING,DALIANGDAIKUANZIYUANRENGJIZHONGZAISHANGSHUDIXIAOLVHEWUXIAOLVLINGYU。

                          贷款的来源和投向配合经济结构调整

                          DAIKUANZENGZHANGJIAKUAIDEYUANYINSHOUXIANSHIJINRONGSHICHANGQUYUHUOYUE。RENMINYINXINGSHEHUIRONGZIGUIMOTONGJIXIANGXIA,QIANSANJIDUJINRONGTIXIDUISHITIJINGJIFAFANGRENMINBIXINZENGDAIKUAN8.99WANYIYUAN。TONGSHI,JINRONGJIGOUBENWAIBIXINDAISHOUZHITONGJIXIANSHI,QIANSANJIDURENMINBIDAIKUANZENGJIA9.9WANYIYUAN。KEJIAN,QIZHONGJIN1WANYIYUANDAIKUANSHICUNKUANLEIJINRONGJIGOUCHAIFANGJIFEIYINXINGYEJINRONGJIGOUDEKUANXIANG,GUSHIWEIWENZIJINXUQIUSHIDATOU。YUCILEISI,ZHAIQUANSHICHANGQUYUHUOYUE,2015NIANQIAN10GEYUE,WOGUOLEIJIFAXINGZHAIQUAN17.9WANYIYUAN,TONGBIZENGZHANG76%。QIZHONGZHANBI40%YISHANGDETONGYECUNDANHEJINRONGZHAI,TONGBIZENGZHANGCHAOGUO100%,ZHEIXIEZHAIQUANFAXINGZHUTISHIJINRONGJIGOU。JINRONGZHAIQUANFAXINGZENGJIAXUNSU,YOUZHIDUFANGSONG、TIDAIRONGZIFANGSHIBUCHANG、CHANYEXINGYEFAZHANDENGYINSU,DANZHISHAOCONGYIGECEMIANSHUOMING,JINRONGJIGOUTONGGUOZIJINCHAIJIE、ZHAIQUANDENGFANGSHIRONGZIYINGDUIXINGSHIBIANHUA,KEGUANSHANGYOULIYUTIGAOZIJINPEIZHIXIAOLV,PANHUOCUNLIANGZIJIN。

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                          零度棋牌XINZENGDAIKUANFAFANGDEZHUTISHIZHONGXIAOJINRONGJIGOU。JINNIANLAI,ZHONGXIAOYINXINGJIGOUHEGUIMOFAZHANSUDUKUAIYUGUOYOUYINXING,2015NIANYILAIDAIKUANXIANGZHONGXIAOYINXINGJIZHONGTAISHIMINGXIAN。ZHONGXIAOYINXINGSHOUDIYU、KEHUZHUNRUNENGLIDENGXIANZHI,GENGSHANZHANGDUIJIEZHONGXIAOQIYEDAIKUAN,SUOYIZHONGXIAOYINXINGDEDAIKUANJIZHONG,FANYINGDESHIBUTONGGUIMOQIYEDERONGZINENGLIDEZHUANYIHEBIANHUA。LINGWAI,“YINGZIYINXING”YEWUZHUANWEIBIAONEIDAIKUAN,JIYOUJIANGUANYAOQIU,YEYOUYUANLAIZENGZHANGJIAOKUAIDEFANGDICHAN、DIFANGZHAIDENGQUDAOSHOUSUODEYUANYIN。DANGQIANJINGJIXIAXINGYALIXIA,WENZENGZHANGZHENGCEBUDUAN,FANGDICHANHEDIFANGZHAIYOUZHUDIHUISHENGSHITOU,BUPAICHUJIANGLAIDAIDONG“YINGZIYINXING”ZENGZHANG,JINERDAIKUANHUILUODEKENENG。NIANCHUYILAI,SHANGSHIYINXINGSHENGXIZICHANZENGSUZHUJISHANGSHENG,GUFENXINGHECHENGSHANGXINGZENGSUJIAKUAI。QIANSANJIDUSHANGSHIYINXINGSHENGXIZICHANGUIMOTONGBIZENGZHANG12.0%,QIZHONGGUOYOUXING9.4%,GUFENZHI17.9%,CHENGSHANGXING25.4%。

                          WENTIZAIYU,ZHONGXIAOYINXINGYIZHIDOUZIJINJINZHANG,XIANZAIDEFANGDAIZIJINLAIZIHECHUNI?QIZHONGLAIYUANZHUYAOBAOKUO,YISHILILVSHICHANGHUASHIZHONGXIAOJINRONGJIGOUDAFUSHANGFUCUNKUANLILV,XISHOUCUNKUANZENGJIA,10YUE24RIFANGKAISHANGYEYINXINGCUNKUANLILVHOU,GELEIYINXINGPUBIANSHANGDIAOCUNKUANLILV,GUFENZHIYINXINGYINIANQICUNKUANLILVSHANGFU33%ZUOYOU,CHENGSHISHANGYEYINXINGZESHANGDIAO35%-81%BUDENG,DOUMINGXIANGAOYUGUOYOUSHANGYEYINXINGDE17%。ERSHIDINGXIANGJIANGZHUNDENGZENGJIALEDIFANGZHONGXIAOJINRONGJIGOUDEKEDAIZIJIN。2014NIANYILAIDE6CIDINGXIANGJIANGZHUN,ZENGJIADEKEDAIZIJINZHUYAOSHEJIZHONGDIANZHICHIXIAOWEIQIYE、“SANNONG”YIJIZHONGDASHUILIGONGCHENGJIANSHEDENGLINGYUDEXIANYUNONGCUNJINRONGJIGOU。SANSHITONGYEGUIMODEKUODA,SHIZIJINZAIGELEIYINXINGZHIJIANDIAOJIYUQUE。QIANSANJIDU,QUANGUOYINXINGYEDETONGYECHAIJIEYUEJUNCHENGJIAOE44.5WANYIYUAN,YUANGAOYUCIQIANLIANGNIANDE20WANYIYUANHE25WANYIYUAN,QIZHONGJUEDABUFENSHIZHONGXIAOYINXINGCHAIRU。

                          DAIKUANTOUXIANGZHULILESHITIJINGJIDEJIEGOUDIAOZHENG。CONGXINGYEKAN,GONGNONGYEDAIKUANCHIXUFANGHUAN,FUWUYEDAIKUANGUIMODAZENGZHANGKUAI。9 YUEMO,NONGCUNDAIKUANYUETONGBIZENGZHANG11.4%,GONGYEHEFUWUYEZHONGZHANGQIDAIKUANYUETONGBIFENBIEZENGZHANG5.6%HE17.2%,DAIKUANYUEZHANBIFENBIEWEI20%HE65%。DISANCHANYEZHONG,WENHUA、TIYUHEYULEYEZHONGZHANGQIDAIKUANZENGZHANG24.2%,BIERJIDUMOGAO2.5GEBAIFENDIAN;FANGDICHANDAIKUANZENGZHANG20.9%,WENZENGZHANGZHENGCEZUOYONGXIASUIJIAOERJIDUYOUSUOTIGAO,DANJIAOQIANJINIANZENGSUYIMINGXIANHUILUO。

                          降准未来还有空间贷款规模将继续扩大

                          零度棋牌WOGUOWAJUEXINGONGQIUHEXINXUQIU,HUAJIECHANNENGGUOSHENGHEJINRONGFENGXIAN,TUIDONGJIEGOUSHENGJI,SHIXIANCHUANGXINQUDONGFAZHAN,DOUXUYAOYIDINGDESHIJIANHEKONGJIAN。DANGQIANGEBIEZHIBIAO、GEBIEYUEFENDESHUJUBIANHUAZHUYAOSHIDUANQIZHENGCE、JIJIE、SHICHANGDENGYINSUZUOYONGDEJIEGUO,JINGJIRENGCHUYUXINJIUDONGNENGZHUANHUANJIEXUQI,JINQIXIAXINGZONGTITAISHINANYIGAIBIAN。QIJIANXUYAOZHENGCEGUODU,BAOCHIJINGJISHIDUZENGZHANG,FANGZHIDUANYASHIHUILUO。WEIGUODUHAOXIANJIEQI,ZHENGCEZONGDEYUANZESHISHIDUKUANSONG,BUHUIGUODUCIJI,GENGBUHUIZHUANXIANGQUJIN。

                          JIANGZHUNWEILAIHAIYOUKONGJIAN。JINNIANYILAIDEZAIAN、LIANDENGGEZHONGHUILVSHICHANGCHUXIANDAFUBEILI,ZIBENZHANGHULIANXUWUGEJIDUCHIZIGUIMOBUDUANKUODA,MEILIANCHUJIAXIYUQIQIANGHUAHEWOGUOYANGXINGJIANGXIYUQITONGZAI。JUCIPANDUAN,RENMINBIBIANZHIDESHICHANGYUQIRENGRANQIANGLIE,KUAJINGZIBENCHIXULIUCHU、JICHUHUOBIBEIDONGHUILONGDEJUMIANJINQINANYINIZHUAN。RUGUOZIBENJIXULIUCHUDAOYIDINGCHENGDU,WEIBAOCHIJINGJIFAZHANSUOXUDEHELILIUDONGXING,JIANGZHUNJIUNANYIBIMIAN。RUGUOWEILAIJINGJIJINYIBUXIAXING,SHENZHIBUPAICHUKUODAJIANGZHUNFUDUDEKENENG,YIBAOCHISHIDUKUANSONGDEHUOBIHUANJING。

                          DAIKUANGUIMOJIANGJIXUYOUSUOKUODA,TOUXIANGJIEGOUCHIXUGAISHAN。SHITIJINGJIYINGLINENGLIBUQIANG,ZIBENSHICHANGRONGZISHOUZU,CHIFANDAIKUANHEZHENGCEXINGDAIKUANZHANBIJIANGYOUSUOTIGAO。XUYAOSHUOMINGDESHI,DINGXIANGJIANGZHUNDENGZHENGCEYINDAODEDAIKUANTOUXIANG,CHULEBUFENLIRUNJIAOHAO、DAIBIAOWEILAIFANGXIANGDEZHANLVEXINGXINXINGCHANYEDEZHONGXIAOQIYE,DABUFENSHILIRUNPIANDI、ZHOUQIPIANZHANGDESANNONG、SHUILIDENGXIANGMU,LIYUJINGJIZHANGQIXIEDIAOFAZHAN,DANDUIJINGJIDUANQIZENGZHANGLADONGLIYOUXIAN。

                          零度棋牌JIANGXIKONGJIANZAISUOXIAO,DANWEIWENZENGZHANGDIAOJIEGOURENGBUPAICHUKENENG。DANGQIAN,WUJIACHIXUDIWEIHEDUOCIJIANGXIYIJINGRIYIBIJINFULILV。PPI FUZENGZHANGXIANZHUTIGAOQIYESHIJIRONGZICHENGBEN,“ZHAIWU—TONGSUO”LUOXUANDEJINRONGFENGXIANJIAJU。ZAIXIANRULIUXINGXINGXIANJINGZHIQIAN,WENZENGZHANG、DIAOJIEGOUDERENWUXIANDEYOUQIJINPO。YIJINGCHUTAIDECAIZHENG、HUOBI、TOUZIZHENGCE,ZAIWEILAI1-2GEJIDURUGUORENGWUFAZHICHENGJINGJIZENGSUWENDINGXIALAI,JIANGXIRENGSHIJIANGDISHITIJINGJIRONGZICHENGBENDEZHENGCEXUANXIANG。

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                          (ZUOZHEDANWEI:ZHONGGUOMINSHENGYINXING、GUOJIAXINXIZHONGXIN)

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